Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.294949 0.350477 0.417546 0.505772 0.620699 0.768127 9.763214e-01
2024-12-15 0.212474 0.277050 0.365954 0.502174 0.715280 1.054902 1.683568e+00
2024-12-22 0.164654 0.228510 0.324769 0.489841 0.788627 1.364260 2.758095e+00
2024-12-29 0.139950 0.204263 0.308771 0.506450 0.916087 1.872173 5.029937e+00
2025-01-05 0.118172 0.178605 0.282161 0.492677 0.977215 2.305933 8.229744e+00
2025-01-12 0.104934 0.163773 0.269718 0.500620 1.091700 3.024499 1.565388e+01
2025-01-19 0.093107 0.148943 0.253438 0.494256 1.168161 3.751348 2.925615e+01
2025-01-26 0.085506 0.140243 0.246818 0.507298 1.311122 5.031417 7.287289e+01
2025-02-02 0.079919 0.134267 0.244250 0.529359 1.504086 7.102967 2.809195e+02
2025-02-09 0.074617 0.127960 0.239567 0.544387 1.690233 9.895286 2.246385e+03
2025-02-16 0.070276 0.122882 0.236520 0.563182 1.916407 14.363449 3.796984e+08
2025-02-23 0.066027 0.117381 0.231402 0.574249 2.126758 20.582114 NaN
2025-03-02 0.061962 0.111857 0.225517 0.582266 2.346886 30.278627 NaN
2025-03-09 0.057866 0.105789 0.217305 0.580241 2.519902 43.292570 NaN
2025-03-16 0.053722 0.099149 0.206573 0.566053 2.608622 57.831701 NaN
2025-03-23 0.051439 0.096355 0.205300 0.586479 2.984319 108.503880 NaN
2025-03-30 0.048006 0.090598 0.195238 0.569831 3.057226 151.555458 NaN
2025-04-06 0.045839 0.087510 0.191945 0.579509 3.389283 306.471251 NaN
2025-04-13 0.043310 0.083329 0.184995 0.571787 3.557565 548.629543 NaN
2025-04-20 0.041723 0.081201 0.183528 0.587642 4.026843 1906.281795 NaN
2025-04-27 0.040544 0.079921 0.184308 0.614518 4.729421 27052.514000 NaN
2025-05-04 0.039208 0.078122 0.183270 0.632869 5.413761 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.038058 0.076669 0.183065 0.655870 6.303867 NaN NaN